44.5% average title probability
Switzerland Super League race map
Switzerland Super League Season Predictor 2026-2027
A standalone race page built off the site’s simulation engine. It surfaces title pressure, top 4 probability, relegation danger, model disagreement and the remaining fixtures carrying the most heat.
26.8% average title probability
61.0% average relegation risk
Gap score 38.5 between the two models
Race Storylines
Quick reads on how open the biggest season battles still are.
Teams with at least a 10% average title chance across the goal and form models.
These sides sit in the messy middle where a strong finish still materially changes the season outcome.
Average relegation probability between 15% and 85%, which is usually where the stress lives.
Title Race
The clubs with the strongest path to first place right now.
| Team | Pos | Pts | Exp Pts | Avg Title | Goal | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSC Young Boys | 1 | 6 | 43.6 | 44.5% | 52.4% | 36.6% |
| FC Lugano | 2 | 6 | 41.6 | 26.8% | 22.7% | 30.9% |
| FC ST. Gallen | 3 | 6 | 40.3 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 29.1% |
| Lausanne | 4 | 4 | 34.3 | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| FC Sion | 5 | 3 | 31.6 | 1.9% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| FC Basel 1893 | 6 | 3 | 30.7 | 1.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
Top 4 Battle
Who still has a realistic route into the high-value positions.
| Team | Pos | Avg Finish | Avg Top 4 | Avg Title | Momentum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSC Young Boys | 1 | 1.0 | 94.1% | 44.5% | +1.8 |
| FC Lugano | 2 | 1.5 | 86.8% | 26.8% | +5.1 |
| FC ST. Gallen | 3 | 2.5 | 79.1% | 20.4% | +7.7 |
| Lausanne | 4 | 4.0 | 44.9% | 3.4% | +2.1 |
| FC Sion | 5 | 5.0 | 28.1% | 1.9% | -1.4 |
| FC Zurich | 7 | 6.0 | 22.3% | 1.2% | +0.1 |
| FC Basel 1893 | 6 | 6.5 | 20.7% | 1.2% | +0.1 |
| FC Thun | 8 | 8.0 | 13.6% | 0.4% | +3.6 |
Relegation Watch
The most exposed clubs if the rest of the season follows the current signal.
| Team | Pos | Pts | Avg Finish | Avg Bottom Finish | Goal | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Luzern | 12 | 0 | 12.0 | 61.0% | 60.7% | 61.3% |
| Servette FC | 11 | 0 | 11.5 | 45.3% | 32.9% | 57.7% |
| FC Vaduz | 10 | 0 | 11.0 | 40.6% | 29.5% | 51.6% |
| Grasshoppers | 9 | 1 | 10.0 | 28.0% | 31.4% | 24.5% |
| FC Thun | 8 | 3 | 8.0 | 10.8% | 20.2% | 1.4% |
| FC Zurich | 7 | 3 | 6.0 | 4.4% | 7.7% | 1.1% |
Model Disagreement
The sides where underlying goal strength and current points-form tell the most different story.
| Team | Goal Finish | Form Finish | Goal Exp Pts | Form Exp Pts | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC ST. Gallen | 3 | 2 | 36.4 | 44.1 | 38.5 |
| FC Vaduz | 11 | 11 | 25.5 | 17.9 | 38.0 |
| Servette FC | 11 | 12 | 24.8 | 17.5 | 36.5 |
| FC Lugano | 2 | 1 | 39.0 | 44.1 | 25.5 |
| FC Sion | 4 | 6 | 32.3 | 30.9 | 20.0 |
| FC Thun | 9 | 7 | 27.3 | 30.9 | 20.0 |
High-Leverage Fixtures
The race-heat score highlights the remaining fixtures most likely to shape the season. It combines each club’s biggest live stake, such as the title race, top 4 push or relegation danger, with how open the match still looks in the two models. Higher scores point to games where the result could change the league picture more sharply than an ordinary fixture.
| Match | Date | Race Heat | Home | Draw | Away | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSC Young Boys vs FC Lugano | 16 Jan 2027 | 207.5 | 41.0% | 22.7% | 36.4% | BSC Young Boys: Top 4 94.1% | FC Lugano: Top 4 86.8% |
| FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys | 12 Sep 2026 | 206.9 | 35.5% | 22.3% | 42.3% | FC Lugano: Top 4 86.8% | BSC Young Boys: Top 4 94.1% |
| FC ST. Gallen vs BSC Young Boys | 23 Jan 2027 | 198.8 | 34.8% | 22.1% | 43.2% | FC ST. Gallen: Top 4 79.1% | BSC Young Boys: Top 4 94.1% |
| BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen | 24 Oct 2026 | 198.0 | 44.8% | 22.7% | 32.5% | BSC Young Boys: Top 4 94.1% | FC ST. Gallen: Top 4 79.1% |
| FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano | 07 Nov 2026 | 193.3 | 37.9% | 23.0% | 39.2% | FC ST. Gallen: Top 4 79.1% | FC Lugano: Top 4 86.8% |
| FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen | 23 Aug 2026 | 192.0 | 42.0% | 23.5% | 34.6% | FC Lugano: Top 4 86.8% | FC ST. Gallen: Top 4 79.1% |
| BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern | 05 Sep 2026 | 169.8 | 67.4% | 19.0% | 13.6% | BSC Young Boys: Top 4 94.1% | FC Luzern: Bottom Finish 61.0% |
| FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys | 07 Nov 2026 | 168.9 | 12.4% | 18.4% | 69.3% | FC Luzern: Bottom Finish 61.0% | BSC Young Boys: Top 4 94.1% |
Full Simulation Tables
The full two-model output, including projected points and fixture-level win probabilities.
This tab shows two Monte Carlo models for Super League. The first is the goal-strength model, which estimates each match from how strongly teams have scored and conceded goals so far. The second is a points-form model built from points per game, home and away splits, and recent form, so it leans more on results momentum than raw goal output. Both simulate the remaining fixture list 50,000 times.
Simulations
50,000
Remaining Fixtures
120
Goal Model Base
1.5 / 1.92
Form Model Base
1.46 PPG
Model Comparison
| # | Team | Current Pts | Goal Exp Pts | Form Exp Pts | Goal Finish | Form Finish | Goal Title | Form Title | Goal Top 4 | Form Top 4 | Goal Bottom Finish (11-12) | Form Bottom Finish (11-12) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BSC Young Boys | 6 | 42.7 | 44.5 | 1 | 1 | 52.4% | 36.6% | 92.9% | 95.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2 | FC Lugano | 6 | 39.0 | 44.1 | 2 | 1 | 22.7% | 30.9% | 79.6% | 94.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 3 | FC ST. Gallen | 6 | 36.4 | 44.1 | 3 | 2 | 11.7% | 29.1% | 63.7% | 94.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| 4 | Lausanne | 4 | 33.2 | 35.3 | 4 | 4 | 4.5% | 2.2% | 42.3% | 47.5% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| 5 | FC Sion | 3 | 32.3 | 30.9 | 4 | 6 | 3.5% | 0.3% | 37.3% | 18.9% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| 6 | FC Basel 1893 | 3 | 30.6 | 30.7 | 6 | 7 | 2.0% | 0.3% | 25.6% | 15.7% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| 7 | FC Zurich | 3 | 30.8 | 30.9 | 6 | 6 | 2.1% | 0.3% | 27.6% | 16.9% | 7.7% | 1.1% |
| 8 | FC Thun | 3 | 27.3 | 30.9 | 9 | 7 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 10.7% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 1.4% |
| 9 | Grasshoppers | 1 | 25.2 | 22.0 | 11 | 9 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 6.0% | 0.7% | 31.4% | 24.5% |
| 10 | FC Vaduz | 0 | 25.5 | 17.9 | 11 | 11 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 7.2% | 0.1% | 29.5% | 51.6% |
| 11 | Servette FC | 0 | 24.8 | 17.5 | 11 | 12 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 5.7% | 0.1% | 32.9% | 57.7% |
| 12 | FC Luzern | 0 | 21.2 | 17.5 | 12 | 12 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 60.7% | 61.3% |
Goal-Strength Fixture Probabilities
| Date | Round | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Proj G H | Proj G A |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 3 | FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun | 26.6% | 23.2% | 50.2% | 1.24 | 1.78 |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 3 | Lausanne vs BSC Young Boys | 18.2% | 19.3% | 62.5% | 1.15 | 2.27 |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 3 | Servette FC vs Grasshoppers | 28.8% | 24.7% | 46.5% | 1.21 | 1.60 |
| 09 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 3 | FC Lugano vs FC Zurich | 41.0% | 22.9% | 36.1% | 1.72 | 1.60 |
| 09 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 3 | FC Sion vs FC Vaduz | 45.7% | 22.1% | 32.2% | 1.90 | 1.57 |
| 09 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 3 | FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern | 49.5% | 22.0% | 28.5% | 1.94 | 1.44 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 4 | FC Luzern vs Lausanne | 20.5% | 21.6% | 57.9% | 1.08 | 1.97 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 4 | FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 | 30.7% | 24.9% | 44.4% | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 4 | BSC Young Boys vs FC Vaduz | 49.2% | 20.4% | 30.4% | 2.21 | 1.72 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 4 | Grasshoppers vs FC Sion | 27.6% | 19.6% | 52.9% | 1.70 | 2.37 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 4 | FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen | 35.0% | 21.7% | 43.3% | 1.72 | 1.92 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 4 | FC Thun vs Servette FC | 23.4% | 20.7% | 56.0% | 1.33 | 2.14 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | Lausanne vs FC Zurich | 35.0% | 24.3% | 40.7% | 1.43 | 1.56 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | Servette FC vs FC Luzern | 37.9% | 24.8% | 37.3% | 1.45 | 1.44 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893 | 38.9% | 23.1% | 38.0% | 1.65 | 1.63 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | FC Sion vs FC Lugano | 30.7% | 21.3% | 48.0% | 1.62 | 2.05 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun | 34.4% | 22.0% | 43.6% | 1.66 | 1.89 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | FC Vaduz vs Grasshoppers | 31.2% | 22.0% | 46.8% | 1.54 | 1.92 |
| 01 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys | 19.3% | 18.7% | 62.0% | 1.29 | 2.40 |
| 02 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | Grasshoppers vs FC ST. Gallen | 20.4% | 18.2% | 61.4% | 1.43 | 2.52 |
| 02 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz | 27.7% | 21.5% | 50.9% | 1.45 | 2.03 |
| 02 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | FC Thun vs Lausanne | 16.8% | 19.5% | 63.7% | 1.04 | 2.20 |
| 03 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | FC Basel 1893 vs FC Sion | 32.9% | 23.0% | 44.1% | 1.49 | 1.76 |
| 03 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | FC Lugano vs Servette FC | 42.8% | 23.2% | 34.1% | 1.72 | 1.51 |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | FC Vaduz vs Lausanne | 24.7% | 22.2% | 53.1% | 1.25 | 1.92 |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern | 58.2% | 18.9% | 22.8% | 2.44 | 1.50 |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | Grasshoppers vs FC Zurich | 25.9% | 21.0% | 53.1% | 1.43 | 2.10 |
| 06 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | Servette FC vs FC ST. Gallen | 23.9% | 21.8% | 54.3% | 1.25 | 1.98 |
| 06 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano | 20.4% | 21.2% | 58.4% | 1.12 | 2.03 |
| 06 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | FC Sion vs FC Thun | 38.9% | 21.9% | 39.2% | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | FC ST. Gallen vs FC Sion | 42.3% | 21.1% | 36.7% | 2.00 | 1.86 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | FC Thun vs Grasshoppers | 21.6% | 20.1% | 58.2% | 1.29 | 2.20 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys | 21.9% | 19.4% | 58.7% | 1.39 | 2.34 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz | 39.2% | 22.9% | 37.9% | 1.68 | 1.65 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | Lausanne vs Servette FC | 36.6% | 24.8% | 38.6% | 1.43 | 1.47 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 | 21.2% | 22.1% | 56.7% | 1.08 | 1.91 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers | 26.0% | 21.9% | 52.1% | 1.34 | 1.97 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | BSC Young Boys vs Servette FC | 49.0% | 20.9% | 30.1% | 2.11 | 1.63 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | FC Sion vs FC Zurich | 43.7% | 22.5% | 33.7% | 1.81 | 1.57 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | FC Vaduz vs FC Thun | 26.7% | 20.1% | 53.2% | 1.58 | 2.27 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen | 25.5% | 22.6% | 51.9% | 1.25 | 1.87 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | Lausanne vs FC Lugano | 23.7% | 21.4% | 54.9% | 1.27 | 2.03 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | Servette FC vs FC Sion | 31.2% | 22.4% | 46.4% | 1.49 | 1.86 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | FC Zurich vs FC Thun | 32.7% | 22.1% | 45.2% | 1.58 | 1.89 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | FC Lugano vs FC Luzern | 51.4% | 21.7% | 26.9% | 1.99 | 1.40 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys | 11.0% | 13.6% | 75.5% | 1.15 | 3.06 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne | 31.4% | 24.4% | 44.2% | 1.31 | 1.60 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893 | 25.5% | 22.6% | 51.9% | 1.25 | 1.87 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers | 30.4% | 25.4% | 44.3% | 1.21 | 1.51 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | Servette FC vs FC Vaduz | 30.6% | 24.1% | 45.3% | 1.31 | 1.65 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | FC Sion vs Lausanne | 35.3% | 24.5% | 40.2% | 1.42 | 1.53 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | FC Thun vs FC Lugano | 12.3% | 14.5% | 73.2% | 1.19 | 2.95 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen | 40.6% | 20.2% | 39.2% | 2.11 | 2.07 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | FC Zurich vs FC Luzern | 47.5% | 22.6% | 30.0% | 1.85 | 1.44 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz | 27.4% | 21.0% | 51.6% | 1.50 | 2.10 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Lausanne vs FC Thun | 30.6% | 23.0% | 46.4% | 1.41 | 1.78 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 | 33.8% | 24.9% | 41.3% | 1.34 | 1.51 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | FC Luzern vs FC Sion | 27.9% | 20.0% | 52.1% | 1.65 | 2.29 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC | 41.0% | 23.2% | 35.8% | 1.68 | 1.56 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich | 47.1% | 20.9% | 32.1% | 2.11 | 1.72 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Grasshoppers vs Lausanne | 20.2% | 21.1% | 58.7% | 1.12 | 2.04 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys | 11.3% | 14.1% | 74.6% | 1.12 | 2.95 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Servette FC vs FC Zurich | 29.1% | 24.2% | 46.7% | 1.25 | 1.65 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano | 26.7% | 20.7% | 52.5% | 1.50 | 2.15 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 | 17.5% | 20.0% | 62.5% | 1.04 | 2.14 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | FC Vaduz vs FC Sion | 33.8% | 20.1% | 46.1% | 1.91 | 2.23 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | FC Basel 1893 vs FC Luzern | 39.5% | 25.2% | 35.3% | 1.45 | 1.36 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Lausanne vs FC Vaduz | 36.7% | 24.0% | 39.3% | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | FC Lugano vs Grasshoppers | 40.5% | 23.3% | 36.2% | 1.66 | 1.56 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | FC Sion vs Servette FC | 45.5% | 22.7% | 31.8% | 1.81 | 1.49 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun | 41.9% | 20.5% | 37.6% | 2.09 | 1.97 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | FC Zurich vs FC ST. Gallen | 31.5% | 21.6% | 46.9% | 1.60 | 1.98 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Grasshoppers vs FC Basel 1893 | 20.9% | 21.6% | 57.5% | 1.12 | 1.98 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | FC Luzern vs FC Lugano | 15.8% | 16.8% | 67.3% | 1.24 | 2.64 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Servette FC vs Lausanne | 23.1% | 25.0% | 51.9% | 0.98 | 1.60 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | FC Sion vs BSC Young Boys | 24.0% | 19.8% | 56.2% | 1.46 | 2.29 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen | 16.6% | 16.6% | 66.8% | 1.33 | 2.72 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | FC Vaduz vs FC Zurich | 31.5% | 21.6% | 46.9% | 1.60 | 1.98 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | FC Basel 1893 vs Servette FC | 32.2% | 25.5% | 42.3% | 1.25 | 1.47 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Lausanne vs FC Sion | 37.6% | 22.4% | 39.9% | 1.70 | 1.76 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | FC ST. Gallen vs Grasshoppers | 38.7% | 23.3% | 37.9% | 1.62 | 1.60 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | FC Thun vs FC Luzern | 30.3% | 21.7% | 47.9% | 1.54 | 1.98 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | FC Vaduz vs BSC Young Boys | 14.4% | 15.4% | 70.2% | 1.29 | 2.89 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | FC Zurich vs FC Lugano | 25.3% | 20.7% | 54.0% | 1.43 | 2.15 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | FC Lugano vs FC Thun | 36.2% | 22.1% | 41.7% | 1.70 | 1.84 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | FC Luzern vs Servette FC | 27.9% | 22.2% | 49.9% | 1.39 | 1.91 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | FC Sion vs FC Basel 1893 | 36.1% | 24.7% | 39.1% | 1.42 | 1.49 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | FC ST. Gallen vs FC Vaduz | 41.1% | 22.6% | 36.3% | 1.76 | 1.65 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | BSC Young Boys vs Lausanne | 38.0% | 22.9% | 39.1% | 1.65 | 1.68 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers | 36.9% | 23.6% | 39.4% | 1.54 | 1.60 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | FC Basel 1893 vs FC Zurich | 30.7% | 24.9% | 44.4% | 1.25 | 1.56 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Grasshoppers vs FC Luzern | 35.2% | 22.3% | 42.5% | 1.65 | 1.83 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Lausanne vs FC ST. Gallen | 29.5% | 22.5% | 48.1% | 1.43 | 1.87 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Servette FC vs BSC Young Boys | 14.2% | 17.7% | 68.1% | 1.01 | 2.40 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | FC Thun vs FC Sion | 22.9% | 18.4% | 58.7% | 1.59 | 2.56 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | FC Vaduz vs FC Lugano | 19.8% | 17.9% | 62.4% | 1.43 | 2.58 |
| 16 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | FC Basel 1893 vs FC Vaduz | 32.2% | 24.7% | 43.1% | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| 16 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | FC Luzern vs FC ST. Gallen | 20.7% | 18.7% | 60.5% | 1.39 | 2.43 |
| 16 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Servette FC vs FC Thun | 25.0% | 22.4% | 52.6% | 1.24 | 1.89 |
| 16 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | FC Sion vs Grasshoppers | 43.2% | 23.0% | 33.8% | 1.75 | 1.53 |
| 16 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | BSC Young Boys vs FC Lugano | 33.0% | 20.1% | 46.9% | 1.88 | 2.24 |
| 16 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | FC Zurich vs Lausanne | 29.9% | 24.6% | 45.5% | 1.25 | 1.60 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Grasshoppers vs Servette FC | 27.7% | 21.8% | 50.6% | 1.43 | 1.98 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Lausanne vs FC Basel 1893 | 28.7% | 26.0% | 45.3% | 1.12 | 1.47 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | FC Lugano vs FC Sion | 44.2% | 21.0% | 34.8% | 2.05 | 1.81 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | FC ST. Gallen vs BSC Young Boys | 20.5% | 18.9% | 60.6% | 1.36 | 2.40 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | FC Thun vs FC Zurich | 21.7% | 19.8% | 58.5% | 1.33 | 2.27 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | FC Vaduz vs FC Luzern | 41.6% | 22.0% | 36.4% | 1.85 | 1.73 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | FC Basel 1893 vs BSC Young Boys | 15.5% | 18.8% | 65.7% | 1.01 | 2.27 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Grasshoppers vs FC Thun | 21.5% | 19.0% | 59.5% | 1.41 | 2.41 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | FC Lugano vs Lausanne | 33.0% | 24.6% | 42.4% | 1.34 | 1.56 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | FC Luzern vs FC Zurich | 26.2% | 21.5% | 52.3% | 1.39 | 2.03 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | FC Sion vs FC ST. Gallen | 37.7% | 21.6% | 40.7% | 1.81 | 1.89 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | FC Vaduz vs Servette FC | 33.3% | 22.2% | 44.5% | 1.60 | 1.87 |
| 06 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Lausanne vs FC Luzern | 44.5% | 24.0% | 31.6% | 1.65 | 1.36 |
| 06 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Servette FC vs FC Lugano | 18.9% | 20.2% | 60.9% | 1.12 | 2.15 |
| 06 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | FC ST. Gallen vs FC Basel 1893 | 32.2% | 24.7% | 43.1% | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| 06 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | FC Thun vs FC Vaduz | 23.0% | 19.9% | 57.1% | 1.40 | 2.27 |
| 06 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | BSC Young Boys vs Grasshoppers | 46.5% | 21.3% | 32.2% | 2.03 | 1.68 |
| 06 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | FC Zurich vs FC Sion | 40.3% | 21.4% | 38.3% | 1.91 | 1.86 |
Points-Form Fixture Probabilities
| Date | Round | Match | Home | Draw | Away | Home Form | Away Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 3 | FC Basel 1893 vs FC Thun | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 3 | Lausanne vs BSC Young Boys | 30.8% | 26.1% | 43.1% | 1.04 | 1.32 |
| 08 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 3 | Servette FC vs Grasshoppers | 39.5% | 26.6% | 33.9% | 0.70 | 0.84 |
| 09 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 3 | FC Lugano vs FC Zurich | 70.4% | 21.1% | 8.5% | 1.32 | 0.91 |
| 09 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 3 | FC Sion vs FC Vaduz | 70.4% | 21.1% | 8.5% | 1.11 | 0.70 |
| 09 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 3 | FC ST. Gallen vs FC Luzern | 76.5% | 19.0% | 4.4% | 1.32 | 0.70 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 4 | FC Luzern vs Lausanne | 19.4% | 24.0% | 56.6% | 0.70 | 1.18 |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 4 | FC Zurich vs FC Basel 1893 | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 4 | BSC Young Boys vs FC Vaduz | 76.5% | 19.0% | 4.4% | 1.32 | 0.70 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 4 | Grasshoppers vs FC Sion | 39.5% | 26.6% | 33.9% | 0.77 | 0.91 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 4 | FC Lugano vs FC ST. Gallen | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 4 | FC Thun vs Servette FC | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 0.91 | 0.70 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | Lausanne vs FC Zurich | 57.6% | 23.8% | 18.6% | 1.04 | 0.91 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | Servette FC vs FC Luzern | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893 | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 1.32 | 1.11 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | FC Sion vs FC Lugano | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 1.11 | 1.32 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 1.32 | 1.11 |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Regular Season - 5 | FC Vaduz vs Grasshoppers | 39.5% | 26.6% | 33.9% | 0.70 | 0.84 |
| 01 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | FC Zurich vs BSC Young Boys | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 1.11 | 1.32 |
| 02 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | Grasshoppers vs FC ST. Gallen | 16.2% | 23.3% | 60.5% | 0.77 | 1.32 |
| 02 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | FC Luzern vs FC Vaduz | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| 02 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | FC Thun vs Lausanne | 30.8% | 26.1% | 43.1% | 0.91 | 1.18 |
| 03 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | FC Basel 1893 vs FC Sion | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.91 | 0.91 |
| 03 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 6 | FC Lugano vs Servette FC | 76.5% | 19.0% | 4.4% | 1.32 | 0.70 |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | FC Vaduz vs Lausanne | 19.4% | 24.0% | 56.6% | 0.70 | 1.18 |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | BSC Young Boys vs FC Luzern | 76.5% | 19.0% | 4.4% | 1.32 | 0.70 |
| 05 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | Grasshoppers vs FC Zurich | 39.5% | 26.6% | 33.9% | 0.77 | 0.91 |
| 06 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | Servette FC vs FC ST. Gallen | 13.4% | 22.6% | 63.9% | 0.70 | 1.32 |
| 06 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | FC Basel 1893 vs FC Lugano | 22.9% | 24.7% | 52.4% | 0.91 | 1.32 |
| 06 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 7 | FC Sion vs FC Thun | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | FC ST. Gallen vs FC Sion | 70.4% | 21.1% | 8.5% | 1.32 | 0.91 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | FC Thun vs Grasshoppers | 53.5% | 24.5% | 22.0% | 0.91 | 0.84 |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | FC Lugano vs BSC Young Boys | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | FC Zurich vs FC Vaduz | 70.4% | 21.1% | 8.5% | 1.11 | 0.70 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | Lausanne vs Servette FC | 67.8% | 21.8% | 10.5% | 1.04 | 0.70 |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 8 | FC Luzern vs FC Basel 1893 | 22.9% | 24.7% | 52.4% | 0.70 | 1.11 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | FC Luzern vs Grasshoppers | 39.5% | 26.6% | 33.9% | 0.70 | 0.84 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | BSC Young Boys vs Servette FC | 76.5% | 19.0% | 4.4% | 1.32 | 0.70 |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | FC Sion vs FC Zurich | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 1.11 | 0.91 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | FC Vaduz vs FC Thun | 22.9% | 24.7% | 52.4% | 0.70 | 1.11 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | FC Basel 1893 vs FC ST. Gallen | 22.9% | 24.7% | 52.4% | 0.91 | 1.32 |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Regular Season - 9 | Lausanne vs FC Lugano | 30.8% | 26.1% | 43.1% | 1.04 | 1.32 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | Servette FC vs FC Sion | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 0.70 | 0.91 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | FC Zurich vs FC Thun | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| 10 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | FC Lugano vs FC Luzern | 76.5% | 19.0% | 4.4% | 1.32 | 0.70 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | Grasshoppers vs BSC Young Boys | 16.2% | 23.3% | 60.5% | 0.77 | 1.32 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | FC ST. Gallen vs Lausanne | 57.6% | 23.8% | 18.6% | 1.32 | 1.18 |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 10 | FC Vaduz vs FC Basel 1893 | 22.9% | 24.7% | 52.4% | 0.70 | 1.11 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | FC Basel 1893 vs Grasshoppers | 53.5% | 24.5% | 22.0% | 0.91 | 0.84 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | Servette FC vs FC Vaduz | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | FC Sion vs Lausanne | 44.3% | 25.9% | 29.8% | 1.11 | 1.18 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | FC Thun vs FC Lugano | 22.9% | 24.7% | 52.4% | 0.91 | 1.32 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| 24 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 11 | FC Zurich vs FC Luzern | 70.4% | 21.1% | 8.5% | 1.11 | 0.70 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Grasshoppers vs FC Vaduz | 53.5% | 24.5% | 22.0% | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | Lausanne vs FC Thun | 44.3% | 25.9% | 29.8% | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | FC Lugano vs FC Basel 1893 | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 1.32 | 1.11 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | FC Luzern vs FC Sion | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 0.70 | 0.91 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | FC ST. Gallen vs Servette FC | 76.5% | 19.0% | 4.4% | 1.32 | 0.70 |
| 31 Oct 2026 | Regular Season - 12 | BSC Young Boys vs FC Zurich | 70.4% | 21.1% | 8.5% | 1.32 | 0.91 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Grasshoppers vs Lausanne | 22.9% | 24.7% | 52.4% | 0.77 | 1.18 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | FC Luzern vs BSC Young Boys | 13.4% | 22.6% | 63.9% | 0.70 | 1.32 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | Servette FC vs FC Zurich | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 0.70 | 0.91 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | FC ST. Gallen vs FC Lugano | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | FC Thun vs FC Basel 1893 | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| 07 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 13 | FC Vaduz vs FC Sion | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 0.70 | 0.91 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | FC Basel 1893 vs FC Luzern | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 0.91 | 0.70 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | Lausanne vs FC Vaduz | 67.8% | 21.8% | 10.5% | 1.04 | 0.70 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | FC Lugano vs Grasshoppers | 72.7% | 20.4% | 6.9% | 1.32 | 0.84 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | FC Sion vs Servette FC | 70.4% | 21.1% | 8.5% | 1.11 | 0.70 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | BSC Young Boys vs FC Thun | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 1.32 | 1.11 |
| 21 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 14 | FC Zurich vs FC ST. Gallen | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 1.11 | 1.32 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Grasshoppers vs FC Basel 1893 | 26.8% | 25.4% | 47.9% | 0.77 | 1.11 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | FC Luzern vs FC Lugano | 13.4% | 22.6% | 63.9% | 0.70 | 1.32 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | Servette FC vs Lausanne | 19.4% | 24.0% | 56.6% | 0.70 | 1.18 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | FC Sion vs BSC Young Boys | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 1.11 | 1.32 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | FC Thun vs FC ST. Gallen | 22.9% | 24.7% | 52.4% | 0.91 | 1.32 |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Regular Season - 15 | FC Vaduz vs FC Zurich | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 0.70 | 0.91 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | FC Basel 1893 vs Servette FC | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 0.91 | 0.70 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | Lausanne vs FC Sion | 57.6% | 23.8% | 18.6% | 1.04 | 0.91 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | FC ST. Gallen vs Grasshoppers | 72.7% | 20.4% | 6.9% | 1.32 | 0.84 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | FC Thun vs FC Luzern | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 0.91 | 0.70 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | FC Vaduz vs BSC Young Boys | 13.4% | 22.6% | 63.9% | 0.70 | 1.32 |
| 05 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 16 | FC Zurich vs FC Lugano | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 1.11 | 1.32 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | FC Lugano vs FC Thun | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 1.32 | 1.11 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | FC Luzern vs Servette FC | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | FC Sion vs FC Basel 1893 | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | FC ST. Gallen vs FC Vaduz | 76.5% | 19.0% | 4.4% | 1.32 | 0.70 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | BSC Young Boys vs Lausanne | 57.6% | 23.8% | 18.6% | 1.32 | 1.18 |
| 12 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 17 | FC Zurich vs Grasshoppers | 64.8% | 22.5% | 12.8% | 1.11 | 0.84 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | FC Basel 1893 vs FC Zurich | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.91 | 0.91 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Grasshoppers vs FC Luzern | 53.5% | 24.5% | 22.0% | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Lausanne vs FC ST. Gallen | 30.8% | 26.1% | 43.1% | 1.04 | 1.32 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | Servette FC vs BSC Young Boys | 13.4% | 22.6% | 63.9% | 0.70 | 1.32 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | FC Thun vs FC Sion | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.91 | 0.91 |
| 19 Dec 2026 | Regular Season - 18 | FC Vaduz vs FC Lugano | 13.4% | 22.6% | 63.9% | 0.70 | 1.32 |
| 16 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | FC Basel 1893 vs FC Vaduz | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 0.91 | 0.70 |
| 16 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | FC Luzern vs FC ST. Gallen | 13.4% | 22.6% | 63.9% | 0.70 | 1.32 |
| 16 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | Servette FC vs FC Thun | 22.9% | 24.7% | 52.4% | 0.70 | 1.11 |
| 16 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | FC Sion vs Grasshoppers | 64.8% | 22.5% | 12.8% | 1.11 | 0.84 |
| 16 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | BSC Young Boys vs FC Lugano | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| 16 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 19 | FC Zurich vs Lausanne | 44.3% | 25.9% | 29.8% | 1.11 | 1.18 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Grasshoppers vs Servette FC | 53.5% | 24.5% | 22.0% | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | Lausanne vs FC Basel 1893 | 44.3% | 25.9% | 29.8% | 1.04 | 1.11 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | FC Lugano vs FC Sion | 70.4% | 21.1% | 8.5% | 1.32 | 0.91 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | FC ST. Gallen vs BSC Young Boys | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | FC Thun vs FC Zurich | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.91 | 0.91 |
| 23 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 20 | FC Vaduz vs FC Luzern | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | FC Basel 1893 vs BSC Young Boys | 22.9% | 24.7% | 52.4% | 0.91 | 1.32 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | Grasshoppers vs FC Thun | 26.8% | 25.4% | 47.9% | 0.77 | 1.11 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | FC Lugano vs Lausanne | 57.6% | 23.8% | 18.6% | 1.32 | 1.18 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | FC Luzern vs FC Zurich | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 0.70 | 0.91 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | FC Sion vs FC ST. Gallen | 34.9% | 26.7% | 38.3% | 1.11 | 1.32 |
| 30 Jan 2027 | Regular Season - 21 | FC Vaduz vs Servette FC | 49.0% | 25.2% | 25.8% | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| 06 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Lausanne vs FC Luzern | 67.8% | 21.8% | 10.5% | 1.04 | 0.70 |
| 06 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | Servette FC vs FC Lugano | 13.4% | 22.6% | 63.9% | 0.70 | 1.32 |
| 06 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | FC ST. Gallen vs FC Basel 1893 | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 1.32 | 1.11 |
| 06 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | FC Thun vs FC Vaduz | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 0.91 | 0.70 |
| 06 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | BSC Young Boys vs Grasshoppers | 72.7% | 20.4% | 6.9% | 1.32 | 0.84 |
| 06 Feb 2027 | Regular Season - 22 | FC Zurich vs FC Sion | 61.4% | 23.1% | 15.5% | 1.11 | 0.91 |