Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG

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🕒 Wed, 07 Oct 2026 21:00 Europe/London 🧑‍⚖️ No Ref Info 🔁 Regular Season - 29 🏁 not started
Season
2026-2027 Season
Stage
Regular Season - 29
Regular Season Table
Atletico Paranaense 4 · Atletico-MG 10

Team Overview

Atletico Paranaense (Home stats)

Games / Record

10
W-D-L: 7-2-1

Goals For / Against

17 / 6
Avg: 1.70 / 0.60

Points

23
Avg: 2.30

Clean Sheets

4

Failed to Score

2
Atletico-MG (Away stats)

Games / Record

10
W-D-L: 3-0-7

Goals For / Against

9 / 11
Avg: 0.90 / 1.10

Points

9
Avg: 0.90

Clean Sheets

2

Failed to Score

6

Match Prediction Angles

Venue-only form, goal timing, first-goal trends and league context for this Serie A fixture.

Quick comparison bars

2.30
PPG
0.90
1.70
GF
0.90
0.60
GA
1.10
40%
O2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
20%
70%
Score 1st
30%

League-position context

Atletico Paranaense rank4th
Atletico-MG rank10th
Atletico Paranaense points30
Atletico-MG points24
Atletico Paranaense: #4 · 30 pts · GD +6
4 pts off the top 2. 5 pts above the play-off edge. 10 pts clear of the relegation zone.
Atletico-MG: #10 · 24 pts · GD -1
10 pts off the top 2. 2 pts off the play-off line. 4 pts clear of the relegation zone.
6-point gap between the two sides coming into kick-off.

Atletico Paranaense last 5 home

W D D W W
Points11/15
Weighted index69
Goals7-2
Record3-2-0
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Strong wins profile across the latest venue-specific run.

Atletico-MG last 5 away

W L W L L
Points6/15
Weighted index53
Goals4-5
Record2-0-3
Weighted index gives more importance to the most recent venue-specific matches. 100 means maximum recent points return.
Recent venue-specific form has been unstable.

Atletico Paranaense trend breakdown

Over 2.540%
BTTS50%
BTTS + O2.540%
1H Over 0.570%
Also: Over 0.5 90% · Over 1.5 70% · Over 3.5 20% · 1H BTTS 30%

Atletico-MG trend breakdown

Over 2.530%
BTTS20%
BTTS + O2.520%
1H Over 0.570%
Also: Over 0.5 100% · Over 1.5 50% · Over 3.5 20% · 1H BTTS 0%

Scoring reliability

Atletico Paranaense score at home80%
Atletico Paranaense clean sheet at home40%
Atletico-MG score away40%
Atletico-MG clean sheet away20%

First-goal patterns

Atletico Paranaense score first70%
Atletico Paranaense win after scoring first86%
Atletico-MG score first30%
Atletico-MG win after scoring first100%
Comeback rate after conceding first: Atletico Paranaense 0% · Atletico-MG 0%
Avg first goal minute: Atletico Paranaense 26.6' · Atletico-MG 22.3'

Vs league average

Atletico Paranaense score at home1.70 vs 1.53
Atletico Paranaense concede at home0.60 vs 1.12
Atletico-MG score away0.90 vs 1.12
Atletico-MG concede away1.10 vs 1.53
Atletico Paranaense score 11% above league average, while Atletico-MG score 19% below league average.
Defensive side: Atletico Paranaense are 46% below league average at home, and Atletico-MG are 28% below league average away.

Head-to-head trends

Recent games5
Avg goals2.00
BTTS60%
Over 2.540%
At this venue setup: 1.20 goals on average across the last 5.

Atletico Paranaense goal timing (home)

1H scored: 47% 2H scored: 53% Danger: 0-15 Vulnerable: 16-30
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
0-15 6
46-60 4
76-90+ 4
16-30 1
31-45 0
61-75 0
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
16-30 2
31-45 1
46-60 1
76-90+ 1
0-15 0
61-75 0

Atletico-MG goal timing (away)

1H scored: 67% 2H scored: 33% Danger: 31-45 Vulnerable: 16-30
Goals scored by 15-minute interval
31-45 3
16-30 2
0-15 1
46-60 1
61-75 1
76-90+ 1
Goals conceded by 15-minute interval
16-30 3
61-75 3
46-60 2
0-15 1
31-45 1
76-90+ 1

Head-to-Head Overview

All Meetings (Any Venue)
Total Games21
Home Wins8
Draws2
Away Wins11
Over 2.5 Goals5 (23.8%)
BTTS7 (33.3%)
Home vs Away as Scheduled
Total Games10
Home Wins3
Draws2
Away Wins5
Over 2.5 Goals1 (10.0%)
BTTS3 (30.0%)

Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG Head-to-Head History by Season